Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Jordanaires extraordinaire

"There's no way, with hindsight, I would've ever called up Larry, called up Magic and said, 'Hey, look, let's get together and play on one team...'" - His Airness


Help not wanted? Neil Paine (BRC) (via True Hoop) says well, yeah. You already had some. And they were plenty good.
An interesting argument some have raised in response [to Michael I Did It Alone Jordan] is that as great as Jordan was, his supporting cast was good enough that he didn't really need to "call for help" -- the Bulls actually won 55 games the year after he retired. Think about that: Chicago won 57 games in 1993, lost the greatest player ever (in the middle of his prime), and they declined by all of two wins the following season.

How was that possible?

56.7% of the 1994 Bulls' minutes were filled by players who had been on their roster in '93 (15.5% were lost when Jordan departed). Of the remaining playing time, 92.6% was filled by five new players -- Steve Kerr, Pete Myers, Toni Kukoc, Bill Wennington, and Corie Blount. Losing MJ and adding those 5 to a 57-win team doesn't exactly seem like a recipe for maintaining the status quo, but there are several explanations for the Bulls' surprising success without Jordan:
  1. One major reason for the Bulls' apparent lack of decline was simply luck. In 1993, Chicago's pythagorean record was 58-24 and they only won 57 games, but in 1994 their luck reversed and then some -- they won 55 despite a pythagorean record of 50-32. Further reinforcing this point is the fact that their SRS fell from +6.19 (4th in the league) in 1993 to +2.87 (11th) in 1994. They may have won only 2 fewer games in '94, but in reality the drop-off in performance was more like 8-9 wins. Still, remember this post about how much losing LeBron would hurt Cleveland? Using SPM, I estimated the loss of James would cost the Cavs 20-25 wins even if they replaced him with an average player... And Jordan's SPM in 1993 was higher than James' was in 2010!  
  2.  The Chicago defense actually improved after Jordan retired. In 1993 the Bulls allowed 106.1 points per 100 possessions, 1.9 better than the league average and good for 7th in the NBA, but in '94 they pushed that number down to 102.7 pts/100 (3.6 better than avg., 6th). Despite the plaudits Jordan received for his D, defense remains largely a team activity, so it makes sense that this was the area in which Chicago did the best job of surviving MJ's retirement. Although mediocre defender B.J. Armstrong led the team in minutes, Chicago's D improved in large part because they received outstanding performances from Pippen & Grant, each of whom earned Defensive Player of the Year consideration. Pippen had been known as a tremendous defender for years, but in 1994 he was the best perimeter defender in the NBA, and his 96.9 DRtg was one of the best ever by a player 6'8" or shorter. Also, not to be forgotten was Pete Myers' ability to vaguely approximate Jordan's defense at SG, Scott Williams' strong post D, better play from Stacey King, and solid interior performances from Wennington, Blount, and Longley (a major improvement over what Cartwright & King delivered in '93). 
  3. The Bulls' offense weakened, but didn't totally collapse. There's no question that Chicago's offense suffered a major setback with Jordan's departure -- they fell from 112.9 pts/100 (4.9 better than average, 2nd in the league) in 1993 to 106.1 (0.2 worse than avg., 14th) in 1994 -- but Pippen proved himself a capable high-usage #1 option, and Armstrong/Grant/Kerr were very efficient complimentary players. You can't deny that the Bulls' offense without Jordan was pretty ordinary in '94, but the loss was not catastrophic like it would be in '99, the second time MJ retired.
So there you have it -- thanks to some strong coaching, defensive cohesion, a passable offense, and a fair amount of luck, the 1994 Bulls finished their first Jordan-less season with only two fewer wins than they had in 1993 with His Airness. But does this mean Jordan was blind to the difference between his situation and LeBron's when he made his statement? Maybe. The Jordan ethos was always "going it alone" (remember "Michael and the Jordanaires"?), so it's certainly in the best interest of his continued mystique to maintain the perception of neither asking for nor needing "help".

Cat's back; Bosh posh

Big Cat's back. Purrr.
The Cat is out of the bag. Jamaal Magloire is back with the Miami Heat. A bruiser on the court and a stabilizing presence in the locker room, Magloire signed off Monday on his third one-year, minimum-scale contract with the Heat.
Known as the "Big Cat," the former University of Kentucky Wildcat becomes the Heat's fourth center under contract, joining fellow Heat free agent Joel Anthony, Cleveland Cavaliers free agent Zydrunas Ilgauskas and second-round pick Dexter Pittman, the burly center from the University of Texas. All, other than Anthony, are on minimum-scale contracts, with Magloire to earn $1.4 million this season.
"Re-signing Jamaal is a testament to his work ethic and his desire to win," Heat President Pat Riley said. "Over the past two seasons in Miami, he has been an asset to this team, in terms of being a role model for our younger players, with his professionalism and his strong locker room presence."



Bosh trades flannel for Fendi. {Shrug}
While James and Wade are internationally known on and off the court, Bosh's reach probably extends only to our neighbors to the north. He joked the ESPYS were his third time presenting at an award show but the first in the United States. Indeed, while James and Wade were at the MTV Video Music Awards, Bosh was mingling with Avril Lavigne at the MuchMusic Awards.
Maybe that's why Bosh has set up this private dinner in a curtained off room at XIV, where he has invited some friends and family along with Hollywood types (if Vivica Fox and Elise Neal can still be called that) to break bread and mingle.
"I'm trying to explore different avenues," Bosh said. "There is so much available to me now and I'm just trying to see what's out there, really. There's nothing really complicated about it. This all happened at a certain time and I'm trying to be more social with different guys in different cities."
It's a stark contrast to the Bosh I first met when he entered the league seven years ago out of Georgia Tech. Back then Bosh was just trying to figure out how to survive in Canada. When we spoke, there was a blizzard taking place in Canada and the more I spoke to him the more I saw him as a bookworm (he wore a plaid shirt tucked into his jeans and had his cell phone attached to his hip) than an NBA player worried about his image.

Bron in Bahamas -- but (not anytime) soon in Coral Gables

Update

Those reports that have James at the doorstep of his allegedly new digs below? Apparently false. According to whom? The owner.



Earlier (Monday)

James reportedly spent a pre-scheduled vacation in the Bahamas this past weekend, which explains his absence from The Groove (so much for haters who have BoyzIIHeat planning their lives like Siamese triplets).

James is also ready to spend -- according to the same source -- a huge chunk on new digs in Riley's current neighborhood.

Price tag? $49.5m.

Listing: One-of-A-Kind breathtaking 8BD/11BA open bay waterfront estate situated on the finest lot in gated exclusive Gables Estates!This 20,088 SF grandeur home has 800 ft on water & sits on 3.6 acres w/100 ft dock to accommodate 150ft yacht.Private Guest Suite w/lighted tennis ct & courtyard on its own acre.3 Suites w/full baths,Upstairs Master Suite w/full Gym,Billiard and Media room are just a few of the delights.Luitron lighting & 12 camera security system thru-out this estate! Please call for private viewing! Listing courtesy of Avatar Real Estate Services.


Hey. But check out the the weight room. That is some serious iron.

Otherwise, I'm guessing this gets ripped out and replaced with something useful.