Monday, July 5, 2010

Bosh v. Stat: Apples to -- pineapples?

Good job by CBS Facts & Rumors blog to get a handle on Bosh v. Stoudemire.

Like everything else, context is required.
The first thing that you'll say is that the Raptors' defense was a crime against basketball. And you're absolutely right. It's certain that Bosh's defense was impacted by how terrible the rest of his team defended. But the individual play types are kind of startling in terms of where he was good and where he was bad. The same can be said for Stoudemire. Pick and roll being the biggest alarm bell if you're a team out there still looking at Bosh as your signature big. Stoudemire, despite being known as a terrible help defender, was ranked 18th in the league overall as a pick and roll defender, one of the more complex defensive sets requiring combination and knowledge of where your teammates are. 
But Stoudemire certainly struggled in ISO situations. If you put him straight up on a player, he gave up .96 points per possession, a far cry from Bosh's .65. And there were nearly twice as many instances of ISO defense versus pick-and-roll man situations.

As defense to Raptors, defense to Nash, i.e., nada, zilch, defenseless.

However, re Stoudemire's ISO deficiencies, does the ISO data specifcy position? In other words, was Stoudemire -- percentage%-wise -- isolated against smalls/bigs at the same rate and proportion Bosh was? Also, does the ISO data adjust for pace? Strength of schedule or opponent?

Or was Stoudemire, in part, "exposed" to more ISO situations because:

Look Daddy! I'm a sportswriter!

She: [Stoudemire] doesn't have Nash to pad his stats. RT @ivanctorres: @Susan_Shan@ftblsickness I'm going to be glad to see you wrong on that one.
Me: Ha. You mean like 2002-03 when AS=ROY? Or 2003-04? When AS put up 21/9? Both WITHOUT Nash? #nba #knicks
She: Marbury was good then. RT @taheati: @Susan_Shan Ha. You mean like 2002-03 when AS=ROY? Or 2003-04? When AS put up 21/9? Both WITHOUT Nash?
Me: Sure. But the prevailing media "myth" is Nash=Frankenstein, Stat=Igor. Myth is fun. Myth isn't fact. Or bankable. #nba #knicks
She: Interesting analogy. We'll see how Amare does without pg.

Who said anything about playing without a point guard or the next worst thing? 

Would Duncan be Duncan with Smush instead of Tony Parker?


Arrivederci Amar'e

via Howard Beck (NYTimes)

"Official" 2010 Vegas roster

The Miami HEAT announced today that HEAT draft selections Dexter Pittman and Jarvis Varnado will represent the HEAT at the upcoming NBA Summer League in Las Vegas. Miami HEAT assistant David Fizdale will serve as the Head Coach during summer league play.
The HEAT is conducting practice sessions beginning today, July 5 though Saturday, July 10 in Miami, prior to heading to Las Vegas. Media availability information will be forthcoming.
The HEAT begins summer league play on Sunday, July 11 vs. the New Orleans Hornets. The HEAT’s five-game schedule continues with match-ups against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Detroit Pistons, Golden State Warriors and Milwaukee Bucks. Summer league play will conclude on Saturday, July 17. All games will appear on either NBA TV or NBA.com.

Rat city

Why do New York beatwriters (exhibits a & b)  share so much DNA with furry critters?

For the same reasons ...



a Wade and owner Micky Arison seen together in Miami. Now Wade, the spy, can tell Heat what he learned about Bulls & Knicks. Riley's a genius
b [W]hen Wade was told the Knicks would build a team around him, he replied, "Just get me one player and I'll get you a ring."

Man oh maan ... maas or menos

Maan. As in much ado about (probably) nothing.

You know it's the time of I Don't Know What You've Done This Summer when airport snafus rate breaking news.

To wit: MV3

There could be any number of reasons for Wade's "misarrival" at MIA. If he was arriving from South Carolina, as one tweet reported, given all the happy talk about family walk, Wade would probably prefer not answering questions about his possible whereabouts with a certain companion who may be filming a TV episode in South Carolina.

Maas? There could be more ado about something if Wade's reported meet with Heat brass at AAA is indeed the thing that leads to Wade's signature on a Heat dotted line.

Hollinger: Atlanta Hawks Pay Too Much For Johnson

i.e., what we already knew and said (On the Beat) -- but not for the same reasons.

Excerpted by  Hoopinion:

 Hollinger -
[V]irtually every shred of evidence indicates that Johnson's next six years will be dramatically worse than the previous six. He's 28 years old and already has more than 25,000 minutes on his odometer. Trolling through my similarity database, I find that the 10 most comparable players areMichael Finley, Richard Hamilton, Jalen Rose, Vince Carter, Jamal Mashburn, Steve Smith, Glen Rice, Jerry Stackhouse, Allan Houston andGlenn Robinson.
None of them made an All-Star team after age 30.
...
Now, they've set a dangerous course toward becoming the Hornets. They aren't there yet, but Johnson is their Peja Stojakovic. The Hawks won't be under the cap anytime soon, won't be able to take on further money in trades because they're so close to the luxury tax, won't get anything for Childress in a sign-and-trade (and may need to renounce his rights to avoid the risk of his accepting the qualifying offer and pushing them into the tax), and might not be able to re-sign or replace Jamal Crawford when his contract expires a year from now and the team has $60 million committed to just eight players.

Heat 2010 Vegas Summer League Roster-Schedule

7/11 vs New Orleans
7/13 vs Golden State
7/14 vs Detroit
7/16 vs Milwaukee
7/17 vs Cleveland

From NBADraft.net:

Michael Beasley
Patrick Beverly
Weyinmi Efejuku
Kyle Gibson
Dexter Pittman
Antywane Robinson
Raymond Sykes
Mikhail Torrance
Damian Johnson
Jarvis Varnado